May 15th, 2012
If you’re trading currencies in the Forex, you’ve probably heard that a majority of experts advocate using fundamental analysis to predict all types of movements. So if you’re hoping to make extra money with the USD/CHF why not gain insight into the factors that influence the prices of these two monetary units?
According to data released by the Bank of International Settlement, the USD/CHF makes for five percent of the trading volume in the Forex. It’s therefore not as liquid as the EUR/USD. Nonetheless, it’s an important pair because of the economic environment of the two countries and their status as safe havens. The pair is said to be suitable for individuals who possess a moderate level of skill.
One of the factors affecting the pair includes the differential in interest rates between the Swiss National Bank and the Federal Reserve. If for instance the Federal Reserve decides to implement measures aimed at boosting the value of the greenback, then the price of the USD/CHF climbs.
Note that those making the most of scalping rarely consider this pair. And that doesn’t come as a surprise since the two currencies often establish long term trends; they rarely showcase brief spikes.
In the Forex, those who opt for the USD/CHF keep up with economic releases such as trade surplus and business sentiment. Less importance is attributed to consumer spending or consumer sentiment. However, market sentiment is a crucial catalyst. All this data offers great tools for a super-pip strategy.
Tags: currencies, EUR/USD, Federal Reserve, forex, USD
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May 1st, 2012
A trending currency market differs from one that’s ranging. It’s one in which the currency prices move in a specific direction. Of course the currencies shift against the trend on occasion. But the long term frames may show that those instances are only retracements.
In the Forex currency system the trend is usually identified by higher highs and higher lows when a currency is trending to the upside; it also showcases lower highs and lower lows when the monetary units trade to the downside.
As individuals opt for trend-based techniques, they often select the major pairs or pairs that contain the U.S. Dollar because they’re observed to follow trends and offer higher liquidity. Keep in mind that liquidity is an important term when engaging in a trend-based strategy. The more liquid a currency pair, the more volatility one can expect to see;
and the more a currency moves, the better the opportunities for the prices to shift drastically in one direction.
Experts suggest that rather than try to eyeball market activity, you utilize technical tools that can help you discern whether the market is trending or ranging.
One way to determine such is through the implementation of the Average Directional Index indicator. This tool is ideal for making sense of the market through its values which range from 0 to 100; they help detect trend strength and determine whether the currency values will continue moving in one direction. Any readings above 25 depict strength in the trend.
Tags: currencies, currency market, forex, forex currency, forex market
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April 17th, 2012
After trading in the Forex, you may deduct that no currency stays in one direction for a long time span without experiencing a pullback. There are a number of strategies that try to make sense of this occurrence. These tactics often rely on price action alone and help traders gauge where the pullback starts and where it finishes.
Knowing how to trade a pullback may give you the advantage you’ve been hoping for. You’ll begin to comprehend that at times, the currencies appreciate because there’s low selling and not because there are more buyers.
In order to exploit pullbacks, the pros recommend having a grasp on liquidity. It’s a key element of price action, very much like the gift of momentum. Many who invest in Forex prefer to shy away from news events as these can bring about some serious movements in the market.
Picture the market as a tall building. Currency values can increase and pierce the ceiling; and they can drop and break the floor. The market does showcase a floor and a ceiling; they’re reflected in limit orders. And when they’re thicker, they’re said to be more liquid.
Something needs to push the prices so that they pierce through the top and bottom. The catalyst for liquidity is the number of market orders. When people submit market orders, the floor and ceiling become a tad “thinner.” To trade profitably, you need a limit or a market order. Each one offers a scenario for Forex profits.
Tags: currencies, forex
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April 3rd, 2012
Volume is perhaps one of the most important elements in a currency’s movement. You may actually think of it as the gas in your automobile’s tank. However, many Forex traders ignore volume and place all their attention on price fluctuations.
Volume as you’ll find out is what propels the market; but it’s a certain type of volume that should concern the on line trading enthusiast. We’re talking about the volume created by institutional money. By understanding how institutional money affects the market we’re able to avoid traps in price action, while trading along with the pros.
Many Forex experts tend to believe that volume isn’t an accurate or reliable indicator, mainly because the Forex is traded over the counter and there’s no central exchange to issue an official volume report.
So how do we analyze volume to increase accuracy in forecasting currency movements? One can assess volume levels with the use of Volume Spread Analysis, a system designed in the 1900s by Richard Wyckoff; or to keep it simple, one may utilize candlestick charts, Fibonacci lines or just support and resistance to pinpoint the proper entries.
Fundamental analysis can also serve as a means to trade high volume. Thus, educators say it’s important that a trader study the events that cause spikes in the market. Reports like GDP, Industrial Production and central bank decisions work as catalysts to raise volume as well as volatility; and you may certainly include the establishment survey in the group.
Tags: forex
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March 20th, 2012
Charts are perhaps the most important tool a trader or investor can have in the Forex. It’s what showcases what is happening in the market. The majority of currency traders these days, especially those who trade with frequency find that charts offer them a significant advantage. In a chart one can obtain a visual representation of price changes; one can also gage the psychology of the participants as well as the interaction between those buying and selling the currencies.
Because of the fact that a chart depicts the activity of a traded asset, a chart is also a representation of how the market views that particular currency. This is perhaps why the experts consider charts a must have for trading.
One of the perks of trading in the Forex markets is that there’s a wide selection of tools. There are three types of charts. So if you prefer to analyze one category over another, it’s your choice. You can pick between bar, candlestick and line charts. Most pros use candlestick charts, because they’ve been around the longest.
In the bar charts, each bar denotes a time span. A trader can obtain the opening price, the closing price, the highs and the lows for that timeframe. Therefore, you can obtain four key pieces of information from just one bar. It’s why many prefer bar charts. Candlestick charts render the same type of information. However, the candles’ bodies provide the range between opening and closing. Lastly, line charts showcase closing currency prices.
Tags: currencies, forex, forex charts
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